CNN/Money 
graphic
Commentary > Bid and Ask
graphic
Careful what you wish for
How weak would the greenback be if Japan and China weren't working to prop it up?
October 3, 2003: 2:59 PM EDT
By Justin Lahart, CNN/Money Senior Writer

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - There's been a lot of whining in Washington about the way Japan and China refuse to let their currencies rise against the dollar. But what would happen if Japan and China caved in to these demands?

graphic
graphic graphic graphic
graphic
Justin Lahart, senior writer at CNN/Money, comments on why you should be careful what you wish for when it comes to weak dollar.

premium content Play video
(Real or Windows Media)
graphic
graphic

For critics, Japanese and Chinese efforts to keep their currencies weak amount to a new spin on trade protectionism. It makes these countries' goods cheap -- and therefore more attractive, on balance -- abroad, and it makes foreign-made goods more expensive at home. This constitutes an unfair advantage for Japanese and Chinese producers against their counterparts in other countries.

The Bank of Japan has intervened massively in the currency market this year, selling yen for dollars. As of Sept. 26, the Bank had sold about ¥13 trillion -- around $118 billion at today's rates. Meanwhile, China, which has a fixed exchange rate against the dollar, has added massively to its foreign currency reserves.

All told, according to HSBC currency strategist Marc Chandler, the two countries have funded about a third of the current account deficit -- the massive gap in the United States' trade in goods and services with the rest of the world. So far this year, the current account deficit is somewhere north of $410 billion and more than 5 percent of gross domestic product.

Which raises the question: What would happen to the dollar if Japan and China suddenly withdrew their support? If it hadn't been for their dollar purchases, the greenback would have slid even faster this year than it has already. It might have had a fall that was downright dangerous.

YOUR E-MAIL ALERTS
Bid and Ask
Foreign Exchange
Written by: Justin Lahart

That isn't to say that Japan and China should keep up their efforts to keep their currencies weak -- there are massive imbalances between the United States and the rest of the world that need to be worked out. But doing everything lickety-split might not be welcome.  Top of page




  More on COMMENTARY
Yes Virginia, there is a Santa Claus rally
Thanks for nothing, Corporate America
It's not just the economy, stupid
  TODAY'S TOP STORIES
SPAIN'S BANKING CRISIS
Stocks waver at the end of an up week
Summer gas prices - as good as they'll get




graphic graphic

Market indexes are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer LIBOR Warning: Neither BBA Enterprises Limited, nor the BBA LIBOR Contributor Banks, nor Reuters, can be held liable for any irregularity or inaccuracy of BBA LIBOR. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2012 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer The Dow Jones IndexesSM are proprietary to and distributed by Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and have been licensed for use. All content of the Dow Jones IndexesSM © 2012 is proprietary to Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Chicago Mercantile Association. The market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2012. All rights reserved. Most stock quote data provided by BATS.
Market indexes are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer LIBOR Warning: Neither BBA Enterprises Limited, nor the BBA LIBOR Contributor Banks, nor Reuters, can be held liable for any irregularity or inaccuracy of BBA LIBOR. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2012 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer The Dow Jones IndexesSM are proprietary to and distributed by Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and have been licensed for use. All content of the Dow Jones IndexesSM © 2012 is proprietary to Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Chicago Mercantile Association. The market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2012. All rights reserved. Most stock quote data provided by BATS.