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Yahoo and Google: Cold War redux
Losing the Yahoo account, Google is no longer the sole superpower in search.
January 19, 2004: 12:05 PM EST
By Eric Hellweg, CNN/Money contributing columnist

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NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - When Yahoo announced its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday, investors drove down the stock price in part because the results weren't "boffo" enough.

But a small bit of news also released that day should appease the boffomongers for 2004: Yahoo will be dumping Google as its search technology provider sometime in the first quarter.

The move was hardly a surprise. The only question unanswered beforehand was when the company would do it. When Yahoo purchased Inktomi in December 2002, most observers saw it as a counterattack to the growing Google dominance.

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But Yahoo needed to maintain its position as the one-stop shop for all things Internet, so it partnered with Google to provide strong search capabilities while it tinkered with the Inktomi technology to suit its needs. The Inktomi technology is finally ready, so Yahoo is finally ready to cut its ties to Google, the leading search company.

"You never want to feed your competitor," says Jonathan Gaw, an analyst with IDC.

Though Yahoo's move was expected, its timing is tough for Google. It is preparing for its upcoming IPO (maybe you've heard about it?), and with Yahoo as a partner, its technology powers roughly 80 percent of all searches on the Internet. Without Yahoo, that share drops to about 55 percent -- a precipitous fall for a company preparing for its debutante ball on Wall Street.

The elimination of Yahoo as a partner "has a dampening effect" on Google's IPO plans, says Jeffrey Hirschkorn, senior analyst at Current Offerings.

But is the bloom off the Google rose before it even blossoms in full? No.

While the loss of Yahoo is a significant chink in Google's armor, the hit to the company's revenue is slight: Yahoo contributed only a small amount per year to Google and didn't serve Google's ads.

More painful will be the loss of the high-profile placement of its "search powered by Google" tags, as well as the service that Web searchers provided to the company's technology: Every time a user searches on Google, it helps the company refine its search capability.

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Even though those losses don't directly affect Google's bottom line, the company -- and investors -- should take the change as a reminder that Google isn't impervious to shifts in the business.

For Yahoo, the move is a long time coming and builds on the momentum of its most recent earnings announcement. With in-house search technology, the company's revenue will be seen as "purer." No longer will Yahoo rely on a competitor for such an integral component of its business.

Don't forget that keyword searches make up a third of the Internet advertising market. In a way, the move also returns Yahoo to what it was before the portal craze: a great way to search for stuff on the Internet. The company had lost sight of that basic component of its business model.

"Search has become that thing that we lost and now we've found again," Gaw says. "It's a Prodigal Son."


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