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Leading indicators rise
Basket of forward-looking economic data posts as-expected gain in January, research group says.
February 19, 2004: 10:35 AM EST

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - A basket of leading U.S. economic indicators rose in January, a research group said Thursday, hinting at a continuing recovery for the world's largest economy.

The Conference Board, a private research group, said its index of leading economic indicators rose 0.5 percent to 115 after rising 0.2 percent in December. January's gain matched economists' consensus forecast, according to Briefing.com.

"The continued growth in the leading index is signaling that strong economic growth should persist in the near term," the Conference Board said.

The report had little impact on U.S. stock prices, which continued to rise in early trading. Treasury bond prices fell.

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Five of the ten indicators that make up the leading index contributed to its gain in January, including gains in consumer expectations, stock prices and average weekly manufacturing hours, along with a slowdown in vendor delivery time (indicating increased activity) and a decline in weekly claims for unemployment insurance.

The indicators showing weakness were falling building permits, the spread between long- and short-term interest rates, money supply and manufacturers' new orders for nondefense capital goods. The other indicator, manufacturers' new orders for consumer goods and materials, was flat.

The Conference Board'd index of coincident indicators rose 0.3 percent after being flat in December. Contributing to the gain were industrial production, personal income, employees on non-farm payrolls, and manufacturing and trade sales.

The index of lagging indicators was flat in January after falling 0.4 percent in December.  Top of page




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Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.