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Leading indicators rise
Basket of forward-looking economic data posts as-expected gain in January, research group says.
February 19, 2004: 10:35 AM EST

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - A basket of leading U.S. economic indicators rose in January, a research group said Thursday, hinting at a continuing recovery for the world's largest economy.

The Conference Board, a private research group, said its index of leading economic indicators rose 0.5 percent to 115 after rising 0.2 percent in December. January's gain matched economists' consensus forecast, according to Briefing.com.

"The continued growth in the leading index is signaling that strong economic growth should persist in the near term," the Conference Board said.

The report had little impact on U.S. stock prices, which continued to rise in early trading. Treasury bond prices fell.

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Five of the ten indicators that make up the leading index contributed to its gain in January, including gains in consumer expectations, stock prices and average weekly manufacturing hours, along with a slowdown in vendor delivery time (indicating increased activity) and a decline in weekly claims for unemployment insurance.

The indicators showing weakness were falling building permits, the spread between long- and short-term interest rates, money supply and manufacturers' new orders for nondefense capital goods. The other indicator, manufacturers' new orders for consumer goods and materials, was flat.

The Conference Board'd index of coincident indicators rose 0.3 percent after being flat in December. Contributing to the gain were industrial production, personal income, employees on non-farm payrolls, and manufacturing and trade sales.

The index of lagging indicators was flat in January after falling 0.4 percent in December.  Top of page




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Market indexes are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer LIBOR Warning: Neither BBA Enterprises Limited, nor the BBA LIBOR Contributor Banks, nor Reuters, can be held liable for any irregularity or inaccuracy of BBA LIBOR. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2012 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer The Dow Jones IndexesSM are proprietary to and distributed by Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and have been licensed for use. All content of the Dow Jones IndexesSM © 2012 is proprietary to Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Chicago Mercantile Association. The market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2012. All rights reserved. Most stock quote data provided by BATS.