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Commentary > HaysWire
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Trading on the Fed
As Mr. G and his fellows jawbone today, dollar traders will hover on the "sell" button.
November 19, 2004: 8:31 AM EST

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - A lot of Federal Reserve speakers on the docket today, including the big guy, Alan Greenspan, and currency traders will be waiting eagerly -- maybe even apprehensively -- to hear what they have to say.

Lately various Fed bank presidents have said pretty clearly that they believe the U.S. trade deficit is unsustainable, and have suggested that the dollar will fall or must fall to correct it. Mr. Greenspan's words will be especially important today, to see if he echoes those views.

If he does, traders will take it as a sign that U.S. policymakers are not just tolerating, but even actively trying to push the dollar lower.

Now bear in mind that it is the U.S. Treasury department which is given the authority to intervene in foreign exchange markets to push the dollar up or down -- not the Fed. The Fed can raise or lower interest rates, and it can jawbone. That's it. And Fed officials' comments could be viewed as merely stating the obvious, not setting a policy agenda.

But in an environment where traders are making money by selling dollars day after day, any more words from Fed officials talking about a weaker dollar will surely be taken as yet another sign to sell.  Top of page


Kathleen Hays is economics correspondent for CNN and contributes to Lou Dobbs Tonight.




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Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.