CNNMoney.com

Companies Economy International Corrections Pre-market Trading After-hours Trading Winners/Losers/Actives Bonds Currencies Commodities World Markets Money Magazine Real Estate Taxes Jobs Ask the Expert Money 101 Autos Mutual Funds The Help Desk Loan Center Best Places to Live Ask the Expert Ultimate Guide to Retirement Retirement Calculators Rules of Retirement Best Funds Best Places to Retire Fortune Brainstorm Tech Apple 2.0 Blog Big Tech Blog Sectors and Stocks Tech Talk Resource Guide Small Business Makeovers Questions & Answers Small Business Video 100 Best Places to Launch FSB 100 Fortune Small Business Fortune 500 Brainstorm Tech Investing Management C-Suite Rankings Main Create Portfolio Edit Portfolio Create Alerts Edit Alerts
    SAVE   |   EMAIL   |   PRINT   |   RSS  
Haggling down inflation
Look at the auto makers' plight on pricing and you'll see the Fed's silver lining.
February 15, 2005: 8:45 AM EST

Sign up for the Eyeopener e-mail newsletter

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - One big force in the January retail sales numbers is a pullback in auto sales that occurred as dealers scaled back incentives to buy.

That's not so great for auto manufacturers and dealers because the more people insist on a discount in order to purchase cars and trucks, the harder it is for these companies to fatten up their profits.

But it is potentially good news for the folks at the Fed who are worried that inflation forces are gathering steam.

For the record, the Department of Commerce report showed overall sales fell 0.3 percent in January, compared to a revised 1.1 percent gain in December. But excluding auto sales, retail sales rose 0.6 percent.

Economists at UBS point out in a note today that surveys by the University of Michigan over the last few months are showing that affluent consumers -- defined as the top 25 percent of the income distribution pyramid -- have gotten even more adamant about getting hefty discounts on their auto purchases. And the surveys show them more willing to sit back and wait for sweeter deals from the car companies before they buy.

An environment like that makes it tough for inflationary pressures to spiral higher in a dance where people are convinced that prices are moving up and they should buy now before the price gets out of reach.

The housing market is one area where this kind of behavior has been widely observed, but when it comes to goods -- cars, clothes, computers, etc -- the wait and watch for sales strategy seems more widespread. We'll see what Alan Greenspan has to say about this on Tuesday and Wednesday.

_____________________________________________

-- Kathleen Hays is economics correspondent for CNN and contributes to Lou Dobbs Tonight.  Top of page

graphic


YOUR E-MAIL ALERTS
Kathleen Hays
Inflation
Retail
Alan Greenspan
Manage alerts | What is this?