MONEY MAGAZINE
Where home prices are headed next
Want to know what your home will be worth this time next year? Check out these home price forecasts for the 100 largest U.S. markets, from Money Magazine.
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(Money Magazine) -- The housing implosion is nowhere near over. In 75 of the 100 top U.S. cities, prices are expected to fall in the next 12 months according to Fiserv Lending Solutions.
The S&P Case/Shiller Home Price Index, which tracks 20 of the largest housing markets, showed prices plummeting by 12.7% in the 12 months ending February. That's the biggest fall since the index began tracking prices in 2000.
Meanwhile, foreclosure filings more than doubled in the first three months of 2008, spiking 112%. So far this year 156,463 families have lost their homes to repossessions. Many markets won't hit bottom till late 2009 or even 2010.
Pity the residents of Stockton, Calif., whose homes are likely to lose more than half of their 2006 value. But if you happen to live in Texas, congratulations: The housing tornado passed you by.
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| Metro Area | Home Price (median) |
Price Change (5 years) |
Forecast (May '09) | % change in foreclosure rate (1 year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAllen, TX | $109,000 | 23.3% | 4.0% | 23% |
| Rochester, NY | $121,000 | 20.1% | 2.7% | 5% |
| Birmingham | $156,000 | 29.4% | 2.7% | 20% |
| Syracuse | $126,000 | 29.5% | 2.6% | 27% |
| Buffalo/Niagara Falls | $105,000 | 24.5% | 2.4% | 14% |
| New Orleans | $158,000 | 43.7% | 2.2% | 49% |
| Scranton | $128,000 | 41.1% | 2.2% | 8% |
| Baton Rouge | $170,000 | 38.3% | 1.9% | 14% |
| Grand Rapids | $124,000 | 8.3% | 1.9% | 37% |
| El Paso | $134,000 | 51.9% | 1.8% | 32% |
| Wichita | $114,000 | 17.8% | 1.5% | 9% |
| Tulsa | $128,000 | 18.8% | 1.4% | 5% |
| Fort Worth/Arlington | $134,000 | 17.4% | 1.4% | 16% |
| Indianapolis | $114,000 | 12.0% | 1.3% | 11% |
| Houston | $150,000 | 25.1% | 1.2% | 11% |
| Dallas | $161,000 | 15.8% | 1.2% | 14% |
| Gary, IN | $125,000 | 25.6% | 1.1% | 12% |
| Albany, NY | $200,000 | 64.1% | 0.9% | 10% |
| San Antonio | $152,000 | 39.6% | 0.8% | 22% |
| Greensboro, NC | $151,000 | 17.8% | 0.6% | 256% |
| Omaha | $136,000 | 17.7% | 0.6% | 71% |
| Little Rock | $128,000 | 28.4% | 0.5% | 405% |
| Louisville | $133,000 | 20.7% | 0.5% | 17% |
| Columbia, SC | $145,000 | 28.1% | 0.3% | 16% |
| Oklahoma City | $134,000 | 29.8% | 0.3% | 16% |
| Austin | $186,000 | 28.9% | -0.1% | -6% |
| Raleigh/Cary, NC | $236,000 | 26.4% | -0.2% | 62% |
| Charlotte, NC | $205,000 | 27.8% | -0.5% | 15% |
| Kansas City | $148,000 | 19.4% | -0.6% | 22% |
| St. Louis | $134,000 | 31.7% | -0.8% | 22% |
| Lake County, IL | $260,000 | 30.4% | -0.8% | N.A. |
| Pittsburgh | $144,000 | 18.1% | -1.3% | 1% |
| Memphis | $124,000 | 8.7% | -1.5% | 28% |
| Richmond | $226,000 | 61.4% | -1.8% | 72% |
| Milwaukee | $220,000 | 35.7% | -1.8% | 53% |
| Atlanta | $205,000 | 16.0% | -2.3% | 52% |
| Youngstown, OH | $87,000 | 2.8% | -3.0% | 3% |
| Nashville | $154,000 | 34.8% | -3.3% | 28% |
| Allentown, PA | $247,000 | 58.9% | -3.3% | 52% |
| Akron | $143,000 | 5.2% | -3.8% | 15% |
| Toledo | $122,000 | 1.9% | -4.0% | 12% |
| Cincinnati | $166,000 | 7.4% | -4.2% | 9% |
| Cleveland | $145,000 | 1.2% | -4.3% | 11% |
| Columbus, OH | $155,000 | 5.7% | -4.4% | 17% |
| Dayton | $125,000 | 7.7% | -4.4% | 10% |
| Knoxville | $144,000 | 35.6% | -5.2% | 39% |
| Minneapolis/St. Paul | $235,000 | 15.9% | -5.6% | 71% |
| Farmington Hills, MI | $175,000 | -7.5% | -5.9% | N.A. |
| Poughkeepsie, NY | $260,000 | 50.8% | -6.8% | 35% |
| Chicago | $279,000 | 29.2% | -6.8% | 9% |
| Virginia Beach | $236,000 | 90.1% | -7.1% | 33% |
| Cambridge, MA | $417,000 | 10.7% | -8.5% | 57% |
| Detroit | $120,000 | -6.3% | -8.6% | 41% |
| Peabody, MA | $365,000 | 10.4% | -8.8% | 9% |
| Sacramento | $330,000 | 23.3% | -8.9% | 210% |
| Seattle | $430,000 | 61.9% | -9.0% | 58% |
| Worcester, MA | $257,000 | 13.5% | -9.2% | 102% |
| Springfield, MA | $195,000 | 33.6% | -9.5% | 241% |
| Jacksonville | $197,000 | 47.7% | -9.6% | 130% |
| San Diego | $522,000 | 31.3% | -9.7% | 175% |
| Salt Lake City | $229,000 | 59.9% | -9.8% | 18% |
| San Francisco | $840,000 | 40.7% | -10.1% | 175% |
| Wilmington, DE | $259,000 | 50.9% | -10.3% | 145% |
| Boston | $363,000 | 13.4% | -10.5% | 57% |
| Albuquerque | $174,000 | 50.7% | -10.5% | 23% |
| Denver | $254,000 | 4.5% | -10.8% | 23% |
| Philadelphia | $200,000 | 50.0% | -11.1% | 29% |
| Providence | $275,000 | 32.0% | -11.6% | 107% |
| Oakland | $595,000 | 27.7% | -11.7% | 266% |
| Baltimore | $264,000 | 64.7% | -12.5% | 92% |
| San Jose | $750,000 | 38.7% | -12.5% | 347% |
| Hartford, CT | $249,000 | 29.1% | -12.6% | 51% |
| Bethesda, MD | $460,000 | 54.9% | -12.9% | 118% |
| Ventura County, CA | $577,000 | 42.7% | -13.1% | 240% |
| Tacoma | $283,000 | 64.3% | -13.2% | 68% |
| Washington, DC | $408,000 | 49.2% | -13.2% | 42% |
| New York City | $471,000 | 43.5% | -13.2% | 3% |
| Bakersfield, CA | $255,000 | 73.0% | -13.6% | 391% |
| Stamford, CT | $562,000 | 32.8% | -13.9% | 66% |
| New Haven | $260,000 | 36.3% | -14.2% | 83% |
| Fresno | $276,000 | 62.1% | -14.3% | 285% |
| Nassau/Suffolk, NY | $465,000 | 40.2% | -14.4% | N.A. |
| Portland, OR | $306,000 | 62.3% | -14.7% | 100% |
| Camden, NJ | $220,000 | 50.9% | -14.9% | 11% |
| Santa Ana, CA | $669,000 | 52.4% | -15.2% | 290% |
| Newark | $419,000 | 38.1% | -15.4% | -5% |
| Sarasota | $230,000 | 38.0% | -15.5% | 458% |
| Edison, NJ | $358,000 | 36.0% | -15.8% | 0% |
| Honolulu | $625,000 | 95.3% | -16.2% | 129% |
| Los Angeles | $528,000 | 67.7% | -16.8% | 261% |
| Stockton, CA | $341,000 | 17.8% | -16.8% | 379% |
| Tucson | $217,000 | 54.5% | -16.9% | 14% |
| Riverside, CA | $340,000 | 49.9% | -16.9% | 299% |
| Tampa | $200,000 | 52.1% | -17.1% | 281% |
| West Palm Beach, FL | $305,000 | 46.1% | -17.6% | 435% |
| Las Vegas | $277,000 | 60.8% | -18.3% | 2% |
| Phoenix | $237,000 | 60.9% | -18.3% | 9% |
| Orlando | $245,000 | 62.5% | -21.0% | 399% |
| Fort Lauderdale | $309,000 | 56.1% | -22.2% | 450% |
| Miami | $329,000 | 94.8% | -24.9% | 370% |
| USA | $206,000 | 32.7% | -9.7% | 65% |
SOURCES: Fiserv Lending Solutions; First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance data; city and county assessors in McAllen, Texas, Poughkeepsie, N.Y. and Lake County, Ill.; MetroTex Association of Realtors; Scranton Board of Realtors; and Greater Tulsa Association of Realtors.
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