Email | Print    Type Size  -  +

At Lehman, time for action is now

The firm promises to re-engineer itself, but doubts will linger until CEO Richard Fuld produces a real deal.

By Colin Barr, senior writer
Last Updated: September 10, 2008: 4:33 PM EDT

Photos
8 who saw the crisis coming... and 8 who didn't 8 who saw the crisis coming... and 8 who didn't 8 who saw the crisis coming... and 8 who didn't
One year after the credit crunch began, Fortune looks back at who saw trouble ahead, and who just ended up in trouble.

NEW YORK (Fortune) -- Lehman Brothers continues to talk a good game, but the time for action is running short.

CEO Richard Fuld outlined an ambitious plan Wednesday to sell part of the company's lucrative investment-management unit, spin off commercial real estate holdings and sell U.K. residential mortgages.

But Lehman (LEH, Fortune 500) also said it lost nearly $4 billion in its third quarter ended last month, reflecting continued deterioration in the mortgage markets.

That wider-than-expected loss increases pressure on Lehman to rebuild its crumbling capital base at a time when investors are showing little interest in purchasing mortgage-related assets at anything above fire-sale prices.

What's more, even a day after Lehman shares plunged 45% as talks with potential investor Korea Development Bank collapsed, there are signs that Fuld has yet to recognize the urgency to move now, before any more declines in the company's share price further reduce its ability to dictate terms of any transaction.

Fuld insisted on Wednesday's conference call with analysts and investors that Lehman is in the final stages of auctioning off a 55% stake in the Neuberger Berman investment management business.

Lehman said in a press release Wednesday that it "is in advanced discussions with a number of potential partners" for Neuberger, "and expects to announce the details of the transaction in due course."

But Lehman's idea of due course and the market's may differ, judging by the recent free fall of the company's stock and the timing of the plans - sketchy as they are - that Lehman is offering.

The recent activity in Lehman shares - up fractionally in extremely heavy trading Wednesday, leaving them down 52% for the week - suggests that plenty of investors fear the investment bank is on the verge of collapse. The cost of insuring the company's debt against default, measured in the market for so-called credit default swaps, has soared this week.

And yet, Reuters reported Wednesday that Lehman doesn't plan to announce a sale of a stake in the investment-management business until next month. Bids for the auction are due Friday, Reuters reported, citing a person familiar with the matter.

In the wake of last weekend's move to essentially nationalize Fannie Mae (FNM, Fortune 500) and Freddie Mac (FRE, Fortune 500) - an event that, if long expected, nonetheless surprised investors who doubted the mortgage companies were in imminent danger - it's remarkable that Lehman is so confident that it will be around come October.

Lehman v. Merrill

Lehman's "promises, promises" approach offers a stark contrast to the path being taken by another struggling brokerage firm, New York rival Merrill Lynch (MER, Fortune 500).

In July, Merrill posted its latest hefty quarterly loss while announcing agreements to sell assets. Just a week later, the company announced a further round of capital-raising, spurred in part by an agreement to sell a portfolio of troubled debt once worth $30.6 billion at just 22 cents on the dollar.

Merrill chief John Thain has been rightly criticized for repeatedly claiming the firm was in a solid capital position and then reversing himself soon after. Fuld has faced the same criticism.

But Thain has quickly struck deals to sell assets at terms investors can assess on their own. In addition to the cut-rate CDO sale, the company sold its stake in financial data provider Bloomberg and a back-office operation.

Lehman, by contrast, keeps saying it intends on "de-risking" its balance sheet by cutting mortgage exposures, creating a much stronger, if smaller, firm that will emerge next year.

Fuld has even branded the recent decline of the company's shares a "distraction," as if the low market value being accorded Lehman somehow doesn't carry an important message of its own.

The risk is that with Lehman shares trading at lows last seen after the 1998 collapse of Long Term Capital Management, it's all too plausible that next year will never come.  To top of page

Company Price Change % Change
Ford Motor Co 8.29 0.05 0.61%
Advanced Micro Devic... 54.59 0.70 1.30%
Cisco Systems Inc 47.49 -2.44 -4.89%
General Electric Co 13.00 -0.16 -1.22%
Kraft Heinz Co 27.84 -2.20 -7.32%
Data as of 2:44pm ET
Index Last Change % Change
Dow 32,627.97 -234.33 -0.71%
Nasdaq 13,215.24 99.07 0.76%
S&P 500 3,913.10 -2.36 -0.06%
Treasuries 1.73 0.00 0.12%
Data as of 6:29am ET
More Galleries
10 of the most luxurious airline amenity kits When it comes to in-flight pampering, the amenity kits offered by these 10 airlines are the ultimate in luxury More
7 startups that want to improve your mental health From a text therapy platform to apps that push you reminders to breathe, these self-care startups offer help on a daily basis or in times of need. More
5 radical technologies that will change how you get to work From Uber's flying cars to the Hyperloop, these are some of the neatest transportation concepts in the works today. More
Sponsors

Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.