Flying for the holidays won't be cheap

By Aaron Smith, staff writer


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Air fares are up dramatically this holiday season -- so there's no point in waiting for last-minute deals because they're not going to happen, experts say.

"You have a lot more pent-up travel demand chasing fewer seats," said Rick Seaney, Chief Executive of Farecompare.com. "There's just no incentive for airlines to lower fares."

The days of cheap holiday plane tickets are over, he said. Airlines have been cutting capacity in the last couple years in response to the lower demand. They've been cutting costs by offering fewer flights, and therefore fewer seats, meaning fewer choices for travelers as demand picks back up.

Opinions differ as to the severity of the fare increases. Genevieve Shaw Brown, senior editor for Travelocity, said that domestic air fares are higher by 5% for the December-January season, averaging $421 round trip. She said that international flights are up by 11%, for a round-trip average of $894.

Seaney's estimate is much higher. He said that fares are up by 17% for the December-January holiday season compared to last year. He based that calculation on 1,200 routes through the 50 busiest airports in the U.S.

Seaney said the increase is so dramatic because air fares are recovering from a 2009 bottom caused by slumping demand from the ongoing recession.

Air fares and travel volume are also higher for the Thanksgiving holiday, according to forecasts. The Air Transport Association forecasts an increase of 3.5% in travel volume for the Thanksgiving period, compared to last year. AAA said that Thanksgiving air fares are up 4% from 2009.

As a result of the lower capacity and packed flights, Brown of Travelocity said that the old trick of holding out for last-minute deals no longer applies. Airlines are unlikely to have empty seats in need of filling, she said.

"Over peak holiday travel, it doesn't make much sense to roll the dice and wait to book your tickets," she said. "It's just very unlikely that prices will drop over a high demand period. It's really just in your best interest to book as far ahead as possible for the holidays."  To top of page

Frontline troops push for solar energy
The U.S. Marines are testing renewable energy technologies like solar to reduce costs and casualties associated with fossil fuels. Play
25 Best Places to find rich singles
Looking for Mr. or Ms. Moneybags? Hunt down the perfect mate in these wealthy cities, which are brimming with unattached professionals. More
Fun festivals: Twins to mustard to pirates!
You'll see double in Twinsburg, Ohio, and Ketchup lovers should beware in Middleton, WI. Here's some of the best and strangest town festivals. Play
Index Last Change % Change
Dow 17,067.56 -30.89 -0.18%
Nasdaq 4,598.19 17.92 0.39%
S&P 500 2,002.28 -1.09 -0.05%
Treasuries 2.42 0.08 3.24%
Data as of 7:47pm ET
Company Price Change % Change
Bank of America Corp... 16.27 0.18 1.12%
Apple Inc 103.30 0.80 0.78%
Staples Inc 12.63 0.95 8.13%
Facebook Inc 76.68 1.86 2.49%
Intel Corp 34.57 -0.35 -1.00%
Data as of 4:02pm ET

Sections

Georgia dealers say Tesla shouldn't sell its cars directly to consumers. It's also one of the most popular markets for electric vehicles. More

If approved by Los Angeles city council, the plan could raise wages for 567,000 workers by 2017. More

The latest celebrity photo hack shows your digital life doesn't end at your phone. If your stuff lives on "the cloud," you don't control the data. More

If approved by Los Angeles city council, the plan could raise wages for 567,000 workers by 2017. More

A scam where fraudsters impersonate IRS agents has now stolen $5 million from taxpayers, and this woman - who lost her entire life savings -- is just one of its victims. More

Market indexes are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer Morningstar: © 2014 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer The Dow Jones IndexesSM are proprietary to and distributed by Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and have been licensed for use. All content of the Dow Jones IndexesSM © 2014 is proprietary to Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Chicago Mercantile Association. The market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2014. All rights reserved. Most stock quote data provided by BATS.