Bonds: 'Everyone's eye is on oil'

Bonds yields fall as investors eye $100 oil, following the unrest in major crude producer Libya.Click the chart for more on bonds. By Julianne Pepitone, staff reporter


NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Bond yields are continuing their pullback, as political upheaval in Libya dominates headlines and pushes oil prices above $100 a barrel.

Civil unrest in Libya has entered its 10th day, fueled by citizens protesting dictator Moammar Gadhafi's 42-year reign and high unemployment. Libya is Africa's third-largest oil producer and sits atop the continent's largest reserves.

Political unrest tends to send bond prices higher, as investors look for safer investments backed by the U.S. government. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

"Like everyone else, bond investors' eyes are on Libya and the price of oil," said David Coard, head of fixed-income trading at The Williams Capital Group.

Oil prices held firmly above $100 a barrel Thursday, after briefly breaking the barrier the previous day. Earlier in the morning, the U.S. benchmark oil contract for April delivery jumped 3.2%, to $101.41 a barrel. Just last week, crude prices were trading below $90 a barrel.

"The uncertainty and volatility in other markets is making safe-haven investments even more attractive," Coard said. "Obviously we're still looking at how events unfold, but everyone's concerned about the overall picture in Libya and the Middle East."

Pro-democracy protests have rippled through Bahrain, Iraq and Tunisia as well -- following the political protests that have continued in the streets of Egypt, since January 25.

The 10-year Treasury yield has been stuck in a two-month-long rut at 3.5%. It finally showed signs of breaking out before the Middle East protests began to spread. But the benchmark note's yield -- which affects interest rates on everything from savings accounts to home loans -- has struggled to move much higher than 3.6%.

"Whenever you've got turmoil and uncertainty, it's hard to say what makes sense for Treasuries," Coard said. "If we didn't have this flight to quality, I think we would see higher yields."

What yields are doing: Treasury yields for the 30-year note fell to 4.52%, the 2-year held steady at 0.54%, and the 5-year note dropped to 2.16%.

The 10-year Treasury's yield was at 3.42% in afternoon trade, down from 3.49% late Wednesday. To top of page

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