Unemployment claims fall to another 7-month low

@CNNMoney November 17, 2011: 9:54 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The number of Americans filing for their first week of unemployment benefits dipped for the third straight week, breaking another seven-month low.

About 388,000 people filed for initial unemployment benefits in the week ended Nov. 12, the Labor Department said Thursday. It marked the lowest level since April 2 and a drop from the revised 393,000 claims in the prior week.

Initial claims measure the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits. Even though not all those claims end up being approved by the government, they're considered a good measure of the job market's strength.

Lower claims, now for three weeks in a row, are considered an encouraging sign that layoffs could be slowing and more robust job growth could be in the pipeline.

"Companies are hearing and reading about gloom, but seeing decent sales, so layoffs are falling," Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics said in a note to clients.

Check the unemployment rate in your state

Amid the Great Recession, weekly initial claims had risen as high as 659,000 in March 2009. As the job market started to improve, they eventually retreated to as low as 375,000 in February this year.

But then the economy was hit by several shocks, including the earthquake in Japan and rapidly rising prices for raw materials like oil. The jobs recovery slowed in the meantime, but now that the effects of those temporary shocks are fading, various readings on the economy -- including initial claims -- are improving once again.

Economists often look for claims to drop below 400,000 each week, to signal that job growth is strong enough to bring the unemployment rate down.

That said, the figure tends to be a choppy, so economists also look at a four-week moving average to smooth out volatility. At 396,750 last week, the four-week moving average is now also hovering at its lowest level since April, another sign of improvement.

Meanwhile, continuing claims -- which include Americans filing for their second week of claims or more -- are hovering at their lowest level since September 2008.

In the week ended Nov. 5, the most recent week available, continuing claims fell to 3,608,000, marking a 57,000 decrease from the week before. To top of page

Overnight Avg Rate Latest Change Last Week
30 yr fixed3.80%3.88%
15 yr fixed3.20%3.23%
5/1 ARM3.84%3.88%
30 yr refi3.82%3.93%
15 yr refi3.20%3.23%
Rate data provided
by Bankrate.com
View rates in your area
 
Find personalized rates:
Economic Calendar
Latest ReportNext Update
Home pricesAug 28
Consumer confidenceAug 28
GDPAug 29
Manufacturing (ISM)Sept 4
JobsSept 7
Inflation (CPI)Sept 14
Retail sales Sept 14
  • -->

    Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.