The Fortune crystal ball

What will get the talking heads talking in 2014 -- the big deals, the inescapable trends, the newsmakers? Our well-studied predictions for the year ahead.

Democrats will hold the senate

ODD13 2 harry reid

An improving economy -- scratch this if there's a banking crisis (see "Mis-tapering") -- puts control of the Senate out of reach for the GOP. Republicans have to net six seats to retake the Senate in 2014, and they've got pickup opportunities in seven states that Mitt Romney carried in 2012. But to pull off the sweep, the party needs things to be going very badly next fall. Chances are, they won't be.

Odds: 71%

- Last updated January 03 2014 12:30 PM ET
Join the Conversation
Robert Downey - a futurist knows

The actor and producer talks to Fortune about the big ideas that have impacted his view on technology and entertainment.

Market indexes are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer LIBOR Warning: Neither BBA Enterprises Limited, nor the BBA LIBOR Contributor Banks, nor Reuters, can be held liable for any irregularity or inaccuracy of BBA LIBOR. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2014 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer The Dow Jones IndexesSM are proprietary to and distributed by Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and have been licensed for use. All content of the Dow Jones IndexesSM © 2014 is proprietary to Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Chicago Mercantile Association. The market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2014. All rights reserved. Most stock quote data provided by BATS.