CNNMoney.com
Companies Economy International Corrections Pre-market trading After-hours trading Winners/losers/actives Bonds Currencies Commodities Money Magazine Retirement Mutual Funds Taxes Ask the Expert Money 101 Autos Loan Center Best Places to Live Calculators Mortgage Rates Personal tech Big Tech blog Techland blog Sectors and stocks Fortune 500 techs Tech Talk 100 best places to launch Ultimate resource guide Small biz makeovers FSB 100 Ask & Answer Fortune 500 Technology Investing Management Rankings Main Create portfolio Edit portfolio Create Alerts Edit Alerts
The Earnings Bell Tolls for Dell
By Corey Hajim

(FORTUNE Magazine) – The stock of Dell Computer (DELL, $24) has been on a long slide, and Dell's May 8 announcement that first-quarter earnings and revenue growth would be less than expected--the company cited "pricing decisions"--gave it another downward shove. Shares have fallen 17% this year, bringing them back to where they were five years ago and giving the stock a P/E of 16 (based on the past 12 months' earnings)--the cheapest level since the mid-'90s. Does that mean the battered stock is a buy?

While most Wall Street analysts see Dell's current woes as part of a long-term slump, not a temporary dip, Brian Alexander of Raymond James thinks this is a good moment to get in. He's well aware of Dell's challenges. For years its mold-breaking direct-sales model allowed it to undercut the competition, he notes. But with PC prices falling across the board, that's no longer such a big advantage. In addition, the company missed an opportunity by passing on AMD chips, some analysts say, because they are more efficient than Intel chips, extending PC battery life and reducing heat in servers.

Most important, perhaps, Dell is facing fierce pressure from other PC makers. "Some of their competitors are willing to make less money," says Alexander. "For example, Acer's operating margins are in the 2% range, whereas, Dell, in its PC business, is more likely in the 6% range." But Dell's biggest headache may be newly invigorated Hewlett-Packard. CEO Mark Hurd has resuscitated the company's sales force, cut its cost structure, and gained share in the consumer PC business.

Despite all the the negatives, Alexander thinks the stock is attractive. "If I can buy a great business at a good price, even with near-term turbulence, that is what leads to outsized returns, not buying it when everybody loves it."

© 2008 Cable News Network. A Time Warner Company. All Rights Reserved. Terms under which this service is provided to you. Privacy Policy
Copyright © 2008 BigCharts.com Inc. All rights reserved. Please see our Terms of Use.
MarketWatch, the MarketWatch logo, and BigCharts are registered trademarks of MarketWatch, Inc.
Intraday data delayed 15 minutes for Nasdaq, and 20 minutes for other exchanges. All Times are ET.
Intraday data provided by Interactive Data Real-Time Services and subject to the Terms of Use.
Historical, current end-of-day data, and splits data provided by Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data.
Fundamental data provided by Hemscott.
SEC Filings data provided by Edgar Online Inc..
Earnings data provided by FactSet CallStreet, LLC.