Where the economy is headed

A CNNMoney.com survey of economist forecasts for major economic indicators of the job market.

Economist Federal Reserve rate increase Unemployment rate 12/2010 Unemployment rate 12/2011 Unemployment rate 12/2012 GDP Q4 2010 GDP 2011 GDP 2012 CPI 12/2010 CPI 12/2011 CPI 12/2012 12-month home price change 2011 12-month home price change 2012 10-year Treasury yield 12/2011 10-year Treasury yield 12/2012
Allen SinaiDecision Economics 2012 Q1 9.2 8.7 8.2 3.3 3.0 3.6 1.1 2.5 2.9 1.2 2.5 4.05 4.75
Bernard BaumohlEconomic Outlook Group 2012 9.8 8.5 7.2 3.2 3.5 3.8 1.3 2 2.8 -- -- 5 5.1
Bill CheneyManulife Financial 2011 Q3 9.7 8.8 7.7 3.1 4.3 3.9 1.6 1.6 2.3 3 5 3.7 4.4
Brian Wesbury/Bob SteinFirst Trust Advisors 2012 Q1 9.7 8.7 7.7 5.0 4.0 4.2 1.1 3 4 2.5 4 4 5
David BersonPMI Group 2012 Q1 9.9 8.8 7.4 3.5 3.5 4.3 1.2 1.5 1.9 0.5 2.2 3.85 5
David CroweNat. Assoc of Home Builders 2012 Q1 9.7 9 8.2 3.1 3.4 3.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.5 2 4.07 4.83
David WyssStandards & Poor's 2012 Q2 9.7 9.3 8.7 2.9 2.7 3.2 1.1 1.4 2 -2 4 4 5.2
Diane SwonkMesirow Financial 2012 Q2 9.8 9.4 8.7 2.1 3.1 3.7 1.1 0.95 1.1 1 2.3 3.02 4.1
George MokrzanHuntington National Bank 2011 Q4 9.7 8.8 8 4.0 3.3 2.8 1.17 2.6 2.8 3 4 4.1 4.7
John RydingRDQ Economics 2013 9.6 9 8.5 4.0 3.5 3.4 1.3 2.4 2.8 0 1 4.5 5
Ethan HarrisBoA/Merrill Lynch 2012 Q4 9.7 9.5 8.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 1.6 1.2 1.1 -2.3 -- 4 4.5
Keith HembreFirst American Funds 2012 Q3 9.8 9.2 8.4 2.9 3.0 2.5 1 1.7 1 -4 0 3 3.25
Kurt KarlSwiss Re 2012 Q1 9.8 9.3 8.3 2.5 3.4 3.0 1.2 1.7 2 -- -- 3.8 4.7
Lawrence YunNational Association of Realtors 2011 Q3 9.8 9.4 8.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 1.2 2.6 2.7 0.8 2.5 3.7 4.4
Lyle GramleyPotomac Research Group 2012 Q4 9.7 9.0 7.9 3.0 3.6 4.2 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.5 1.5 3.75 4.25
Lynn ReaserFermanian Business & Economic Institute 2011 Q4 9.7 9.2 8.2 3.0 3.4 3.5 1.1 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.8 4.25 4.75
Mark ZandiMoody's Analytics 2012 Q1 9.8 8.8 8.2 3.2 3.9 3.8 0.9 1.6 2.9 1.8 2.9 4.5 5.3
Maury HarrisUBS 2012 Q1 9.6 9.2 8.9 2.5 2.9 2.7 1.2 1.9 1.9 0 2 3.5 4
Nick TenevBarclays Capital 2012 Q3 9.7 8.5 7.3 3.0 3.4 3.8 1.5 1.4 2 -1.5 4 3.5 --
Sean SnaithUniv Central Fla 2011 Q4 9.9 9.2 8.7 2.8 2.4 3.3 1.3 1.43 1.89 -2.3 2 3.67 4.7
Sherry CooperBMO Financial Group 2012 Q1 9.7 8.9 8.2 2.8 3.3 3.1 1.1 1.3 1.6 0 1 4 5
Susan SterneEconomic Analysis Associates 2011 Q2 9.7 8.2 7.2 3.1 3.0 2.3 1.4 2.4 2.2 3 -3 4.8 4.4
Bill WatkinsCenter for Economic Research and Forecasting 2012 Q1 9.6 8.7 7.4 2.5 2.5 3.1 0.9 1.4 1.7 0.9 2 3.17 3.71


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