About two years ago, venture capitalist Kevin Efrusy says he was "roundly
beaten and castigated" by his partners for boasting to The Wall Street Journal
that his portfolio company Facebook Inc. had the potential to be worth more than
$2 billion.
The general partner at Accel Partners had led the firm's investment in
Facebook the year before, and his company was the subject of possible takeover
rumors by acquirers that didn't seem too enthusiastic with that figure.
Now, with a $15 billion valuation placed on the company thanks to Microsoft
Inc.'s (MSFT) small stake purchase, he's not looking so foolhardy. But these
days, Efrusy is a bit more restrained about the valuation while the industry
debates the worth of Facebook and other social media companies.
(This story originally appeared in VentureWire, a daily email newsletter
published by Dow Jones & Co. that covers news about venture-capital and start-up
companies.)
At the National Venture Capital Association's annual meeting Wednesday, Efrusy
sat on a panel with executives from advertising firm Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC),
entertainment content company Viacom Inc. (VIA), and Internet giant Yahoo Inc. (
YHOO), to discuss the power of online advertising.
Among the topics was the hot-button issue of whether Facebook and other
advertising-based social networking sites deserve lofty valuations at this
point. "Would we love to own MySpace for $700 million? Absolutely," said Wade
Davis, senior vice president at Viacom, which was interested in Facebook in the
past. Would Viacom buy Facebook for $15 billion? "Absolutely not. Nor did we
want to pay $1 billion. There is a lot of hype, a lot of activity, but a lot of
dollars aren't being made."
Davis believes there's a place for social media in the future, but they will
serve as platforms that distribute branded content and entertainment the way
cable networks do.
"They're very small, very nascent, not the place where our advertisers are
spending a lot of money," Davis said. "For companies in the branded
entertainment business, it doesn't matter to them yet."
Efrusy, though, believes Facebook has created a network coveted by advertisers
by dominating a tough-to-reach demographic of college students who suddenly
began spending hours a day on the site.
"Media properties are valuable when they concentrate and really own the
demographic," Efrusy said. "At the end of the day there is a media buyer
somewhere in the bowels of an organization who decides where to spend the
dollars, and he makes phone calls and places ads.
"The idea is to be that first phone call - BET is probably the first company
that gets a call when a media buyer wants to reach African-Americans. ...You
can't underestimate the value of that, where you become that first phone call,
you sell out your ad inventory more quickly, you price highly."
Jonathan Nelson, who runs the digital business of Omnicom, agrees Facebook is
helping advertisers get messages across to the college-aged set. But he said
Facebook and other social media companies have a long way to go before they're
in a position to be the "last mile of advertising" like Google Inc. (GOOG).
"People go to Google to buy, to research things, to go somewhere else and do
something," Nelson said. "On social media sites people are just chatting with
their friends, not looking to buy a car or buy a computer. Some sites are making
recommendations, but they still have a long way to go."
Seeing a future in this area is Yahoo, which is focusing on "socializing media
assets and tapping into this nascent social network that exists within Yahoo,"
said Scott Moore, senior vice president and head of media at the company.
Moore said, though, that it's important to weave together social experiences
online with a traditional media experience like reading a newspaper or watching
a video.
"Social media - like MySpace and Facebook on a standalone basis - gives
advertisers the willies because there's no context, no quality branded content
experience where they know their ad is going to thrive and live in a healthy
way. They're nervous what kind of activity is happening on those things. And
there's not an engagement with those brands that you might get in content
areas."
-By Scott Austin, VentureWire/Dow Jones Newsletters; 201-938-4299
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
05-09-08 0818ET
Copyright (c) 2008 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.