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Inflation hedges
This week's report of strong March retail sales piqued fears of resurgent inflation. And Wednesday's uptick in the consumer price index only intensified that concern.

In fact, core inflation is still running at less than a 3 percent annual rate -- one of the reasons this recovery is likely to continue beyond the current year. But as economic recoveries continue, core inflation generally moves higher. As a result, hedging against inflation will be a crucial part of maintaining your portfolio's purchasing power.

There's a particularly good reason to include oil stocks among your inflation hedges. Not only does continued strife in the Middle East increase the possibility of a disruption in oil supplies, but cheap oil is steadily being used up. That means that over the next decade oil prices should inevitably rise.

In addition to energy stocks, producers of other raw materials are classic hedges against inflation, as are companies that own valuable real estate.

The table below includes two global integrated oils, one exploration and production company, Unocal, two metals producers, and one play on valuable Florida real estate (St. Joe trades on its land holdings, not its P/E).

Since the recovery began to heat up last fall, these stocks are up an average of nearly 30%. But they could climb a lot further if inflation does accelerate and consistently stays above the 3 percent mark.
Last updated Apr 13 10:01
Company
(Ticker
symbol)
Current
share
price
52-wk
high
52-wk
low
Proj.
P/E
Proj.
5-year
growth
PEG
ratio
Comments
Alcoa (AA) $14.19 $17.60 $8.10 11.9 9% 1.2 Aluminum producer
ConocoPhillips (COP) $56.01 $56.17 $37.52 7.6 7% 0.7 Integrated oil
Exxon Mobil (XOM) $68.49 $76.54 $63.56 9.5 5% 1.3 Integrated oil
St. Joe Co (JOE) $34.45 $34.49 $20.73 229.7 9% 25.5 Florida land developer
Projected P/E based on earnings estimates for this fiscal year. Growth is annual rate based on earnings projections for the next five years.
Source: Thomson/First Call







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Market indexes are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer LIBOR Warning: Neither BBA Enterprises Limited, nor the BBA LIBOR Contributor Banks, nor Reuters, can be held liable for any irregularity or inaccuracy of BBA LIBOR. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2012 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer The Dow Jones IndexesSM are proprietary to and distributed by Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and have been licensed for use. All content of the Dow Jones IndexesSM © 2012 is proprietary to Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Chicago Mercantile Association. The market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2012. All rights reserved. Most stock quote data provided by BATS.