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Markets & Stocks
Cohen raises Dow forecast
March 17, 1998

Wall Street guru pegs blue-chip index at 9,300, sees strong growth ahead
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NEW YORK (CNNfn) - Highly respected Wall Street guru Abby Joseph Cohen, co-chair of Goldman Sachs' investment policy committee, said Tuesday the U.S. stock market will perform better than she had expected earlier this year.

Less than two months after she put a "conservative" 8,700 estimate on the Dow industrials, Cohen raised the bar to 9,300, citing lack of inflation threats for the U.S. economy, a positive outlook for corporate profit growth, and expectations for a strong performance by the United States on the global economic front.

On Monday, the Dow broke the 8,700 barrier, closing at a record 8,718.85.

"There is no recession in our new forecast horizon, nor is inflation likely to be problematic," Cohen said in a research paper.

"The principal conclusion is that we expect profit growth to continue through our new forecast horizon," she said.

In early February, Cohen warned the major damage from the Asian crisis will be felt by U.S. companies in the first half of the year although most of the scars would heal eventually. In her latest outlook on the market, Cohen did not mention Asia. Instead, she envisioned "strong U.S. performance in the global economy."

Cohen raised her year-end forecast for the S&P 500 index to 1,150 from 1,075, and said the Nasdaq Composite would now reach 1,900 by the end of December, up from her previous estimate of 1,776. On Monday, both indexes exceeded Cohen's Feb. 2 predictions. Back to top


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Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.