Productivity

Productivity and Costs, Second Quarter, 2000


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                        PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS

                             Second Quarter 2000



     The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported

preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons--

for the second quarter of 2000.  The preliminary seasonally adjusted annual

rates of productivity change in the second quarter were:



               6.2 percent in the business sector and

               5.3 percent in the nonfarm business sector.



In both the business and nonfarm business sectors, productivity grew more

rapidly in the second quarter than in the first quarter, when output per hour

of all persons (as revised) rose 1.6 percent in the business sector and 1.9

percent in the nonfarm business sector.



     In manufacturing, productivity changes in the second quarter were:



               5.1 percent in manufacturing,

               9.6 percent in durable goods manufacturing, and

               0.0 percent in nondurable goods manufacturing.



     Productivity rose 5.1 percent in the manufacturing sector in the second

quarter as output and hours of all persons increased 7.0 percent and 1.7

percent, respectively.  In the first quarter, manufacturing productivity rose

7.9 percent (as revised).  Output and hours in manufacturing, which includes

about 17 percent of U.S. business-sector employment, tend to vary more from

quarter to quarter than data for the more aggregate business and nonfarm

business sectors.  Second-quarter measures are summarized in table A and

appear in detail in tables 1 through 5.



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The  data  in  this  release  reflect the regular  multi-year  GDP  revisions

released  by  the  Bureau  of Economic Analysis of  the  U.S.  Department  of

Commerce on July 28.  They also reflect the annual benchmark revision to  the

BLS  establishment survey data and revisions to hours series released by  BLS

on  June  2.  All employment and hours series incorporate new information  on

seasonal  patterns.   In addition, measures of output for  the  manufacturing

sectors  were  revised.   See Revised Measures.   Appendix  tables  1-6  show

revised historical series.

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Table A. Productivity and costs: Preliminary second-quarter 2000

measures

(Seasonally adjusted annual rates)

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                                                         Real     

                                                Hourly   hourly   Unit

                   Produc-                      compen-  compen-  labor

Sector             tivity    Output    Hours    sation   sation   costs

-----------------------------------------------------------------------                   

                      Percent change from preceding quarter

Business            6.2       5.7      -0.4       6.3      2.6     0.1

Nonfarm business    5.3       5.9       0.5       5.3      1.6    -0.1

Manufacturing       5.1       7.0       1.7       4.4      0.8    -0.7

  Durable           9.6      13.3       3.4       3.8      0.2    -5.3

  Nondurable        0.0      -0.8      -0.8       5.1      1.5     5.1

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                      Percent change from same quarter a year ago

Business            5.0       6.9       1.7       4.7      1.4    -0.3

Nonfarm business    5.1       7.0       1.8       4.7      1.4    -0.4

Manufacturing       6.9       6.4      -0.4       4.9      1.6    -1.9

  Durable           9.5      10.2       0.7       4.9      1.6    -4.2

  Nondurable        3.8       1.6      -2.1       4.6      1.3     0.8

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     The data sources and methods used in the preparation of the manufacturing

series differ from those used in preparing the business and nonfarm business

series, and these measures are not directly comparable.  Output measures for

business and nonfarm business are based on measures of gross domestic product

prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of

Commerce.  Quarterly output measures for manufacturing reflect indexes of

industrial production independently prepared by the Board of Governors of the

Federal Reserve System.  See Technical Notes for further information on data

sources.



Business



      From the first to the second quarter of 2000, business sector

productivity increased at a 6.2-percent annual rate, as output rose 5.7

percent and hours of all persons engaged in the sector fell at a 0.4-percent

annual rate.  As revised, labor productivity rose 1.6 percent in the first

quarter as output and hours increased 5.3 and 3.7 percent, respectively

(table 1).



      Hourly compensation increased 6.3 percent in the second quarter and 3.5

percent in the first quarter of 2000 (seasonally adjusted annual rates).

This measure includes wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions

to employee benefit plans, and taxes.  Unit labor costs, which reflect

changes in both hourly compensation and productivity, edged up 0.1 percent

during the second quarter, following a 1.9-percent rise in the first quarter

of 2000.



      Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes in consumer

prices, rose at a 2.6 percent annual rate during the second quarter of 2000

after declining 0.4 percent in the previous quarter.



      The implicit price deflator for the business sector, which reflects

changes in unit labor costs and unit nonlabor payments, increased 2.5 percent

in the second quarter and 3.0 percent in the first quarter of 2000.



Nonfarm business



     Productivity increased 5.3 percent in the nonfarm business sector during

the second quarter of 2000, after rising 1.9 percent in the first quarter

(table 2).  Output rose 5.9 percent in the second quarter, after increasing

5.2 percent during the first quarter of 2000.  Hours of all persons working

in the sector increased 0.5 percent in the second quarter.  This was the

smallest increase in hours since the first quarter of 1996 (when they fell

0.1 percent) and followed a 3.2 percent rise in the first quarter of 2000.



      Hourly compensation increased 5.3 percent in the second quarter, after

posting a 3.9-percent gain in the first quarter of 2000.  When the rise in

consumer prices is taken into account, real hourly compensation for the second

quarter of 2000 rose 1.6 percent.

     

     Unit labor costs decreased 0.1 percent in the second quarter of 2000,

after rising 1.9 percent one quarter earlier.  The implicit price deflator for

nonfarm business output grew 2.2 percent in the second quarter and 3.2 percent

in the first quarter of 2000.



Manufacturing



      Productivity increased 5.1 percent in manufacturing, as output rose 7.0

percent and hours of all persons increased 1.7 percent (seasonally adjusted

annual rates).  Growth in productivity, output, and hours was quite different

in the durable and nondurable goods subsectors.  In durable goods,

productivity rose 9.6 percent, reflecting output growth of 13.3 percent and a

3.4-percent rise in hours of all persons.  In nondurable goods, productivity

remained unchanged in the second quarter, as output and hours both fell 0.8

percent (tables 3, 4, and 5).



      Hourly compensation of all manufacturing workers increased 4.4 percent

during the second quarter.  This reflects growth of 3.8 percent in durable

goods and 5.1 percent in nondurable goods.  When the increase in consumer

prices is taken into account, the real hourly compensation of all manu-

facturing workers rose 0.8 percent in the second quarter.



      Unit labor costs in manufacturing dropped 0.7 percent in the second

quarter.  This marked the third consecutive quarter of falling unit labor

costs for the total manufacturing sector; unit labor costs fell 3.0 percent

in the first quarter of 2000 and 5.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 1999.

In the second quarter of 2000, trends in unit labor costs in the two sub-

sectors were quite different, reflecting the very different growth rates in

productivity.  Unit labor costs fell 5.3 percent in durable goods manu-

facturing and rose 5.1 percent in nondurable goods manufacturing.  The

increase in unit labor costs in nondurable goods manufacturing was the largest

since a 5.8-percent rise was posted in the second quarter of 1993.



Revised Measures



      Current and previous measures for the first quarter of 2000 for the

business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing sectors are compared in table B.

In the business and nonfarm business sectors, both the output and hours

measures grew less than reported on June 6, based on information then

available.  Labor productivity growth was revised down.  In manufacturing,

productivity growth was revised up to reflect higher output growth and a

larger drop in hours than originally reported.





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Table B. Previous and revised productivity and related measures

Quarterly percent change at seasonally adjusted annual rate

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                                                       Real     

                                              Hourly   hourly   Unit

                   Produc-                    compen-  compen-  labor

Sector             tivity   Output   Hours    sation   sation   costs

---------------------------------------------------------------------                                                          

                             First quarter 2000

Business:                                                       

  Previous          1.8      6.1      4.2      3.5      -0.3     1.7

  Current           1.6      5.3      3.7      3.5      -0.4     1.9

Nonfarm business:                                               

  Previous          2.4      6.1      3.6      4.1       0.2     1.6

  Current           1.9      5.2      3.2      3.9       0.0     1.9

Manufacturing:                                                  

  Previous          7.3      6.8     -0.5      3.6      -0.3    -3.4

  Current           7.9      7.1     -0.7      4.6       0.7    -3.0

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     Data on manufacturing output for 1997 and 1998 were revised to reflect

newly available data on shipments from the U.S. Census Bureau.  There also

were small revisions to earlier years reflecting the incorporation of new

data associated with the 1999 comprehensive revisions to the National Income

and Product Accounts.



     Output data for the business and nonfarm business sectors and

compensation series for all sectors incorporate the revisions of the national

income and product accounts produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.

Department of Commerce.  In addition, small changes have been made to the

historical estimates of employment in for-profit organizations and

corporations.  Labor input measures have been revised further to reflect the

annual benchmarking of employment levels derived from the monthly Current

Employment Statistics (CES) survey that occurred on June 2.  Updated seasonal

adjustment factors also have been incorporated into the labor input measures.

These revisions extend back to the first quarter of 1995.  Appendix tables

1-6 present quarterly and annual measures for all sectors for 1995-97.



Revised measures: Nonfinancial Corporations



      Productivity and cost measures for the first quarter for nonfinancial

corporations also were revised to incorporate more recent information than

was available on June 6.  Productivity, output, employee hours, and hourly

compensation grew more slowly than previously reported.  Unit profits and the

implicit price deflator were revised up from the preliminary estimates

reported in June (table C).





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Table C.  Nonfinancial corporations: Previous and revised productivity and

cost measures

Quarterly percent changes at seasonally adjusted annual rates

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                                             Real                    

                                     Hourly  hourly  Unit            Implicit

            Produc-                  compen- compen- labor   Unit    price

            tivity   Output  Hours   sation  sation  costs   profits deflator

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                            First quarter 2000

Previous     3.6      7.3     3.6     3.5    -0.4    -0.1     14.3     1.6

Current      2.9      6.2     3.2     2.7    -1.1    -0.2     14.9     2.3

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                              Next release date



     The next release of Productivity and Costs is scheduled for 8:30 a.m.

EDT, Wednesday, Sept. 6, 2000.  Revised second-quarter measures for business,

nonfarm business, and manufacturing will be released at that time, along with

measures for nonfinancial corporations.

Table of Contents

Quarterly Labor Productivity


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Last modified: Tuesday, August 08, 2000
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