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Personal Finance > Ask the Expert
What's the definition of a bear market?
May 17, 2001


By Walter Updegrave
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What exactly is a bear market?

I can't give you an "official" definition for a bear market, because one doesn't exist. But the generally accepted definition is a decline of roughly 20 percent or more in a broad stock market index, such as the Standard & Poor's 500. By that yardstick, we have been in a bear since March 12th when the S&P 500 closed 23 percent below its March 24, 2000 peak. Nasdaq had already fallen far more than 20 percent by the time the S&P 500 slipped into bear territory. But because Nasdaq is so heavily weighted toward technology stocks, most market experts don't consider it a good benchmark for tracking bears.

The eight bear markets we've had since 1960 (excluding the current one) have lasted 12 months on average, during which the S&P index declined an average 29.3 percent. It typically took the index another 20 months to climb back to its pre-bear peak. Of course, some of those downturns were mere Pooh bears -- the 1990 bear market lasted just two months and saw stock prices decline "barely" 20 percent -- while others were full-fledged grizzlies -- the 1973-74 bear market dragged on for 21 months during which stocks lost 48.2 percent of their value.

How long will this bear last? Unfortunately, neither I nor anyone else can make such predictions. But I do know that eventually this bear will give way to a sprightly new bull that will carry stock prices even higher than before.






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Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.

Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. All times are ET. Disclaimer. Morningstar: © 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices © S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2018 and/or its affiliates.