Why they're hot
Shales, massive rock formations deep below ground, may hold enough natural gas to satisfy U.S. needs for the next 45 years. Pure-play shale companies such as Range Resources (RRC) and Southwestern Energy (SWN) have seen their stocks rise 72% and 160%, respectively, over the past five years.
Why they're worrisome
With gas prices already low -- $4.30 per million BTU -- these discoveries will add supply and further depress prices.
Verdict: a bubble
Environmental fears are fueling opposition to shale drilling. New York, where the massive Marcellus shale is partially located, is considering a temporary ban. Yet Range (a large Marcellus leaseholder) has a price/earnings ratio of 65 based on 2010 earnings, a huge premium to such diversified gas companies as Chesapeake and Devon, which have P/Es of 7 and 11, respectively. "Everyone is betting gas prices will go up," says Oppenheimer analyst Fadel Gheit. "But I don't see it."
NEXT: Cotton
Shales, massive rock formations deep below ground, may hold enough natural gas to satisfy U.S. needs for the next 45 years. Pure-play shale companies such as Range Resources (RRC) and Southwestern Energy (SWN) have seen their stocks rise 72% and 160%, respectively, over the past five years.
Why they're worrisome
With gas prices already low -- $4.30 per million BTU -- these discoveries will add supply and further depress prices.
Verdict: a bubble
Environmental fears are fueling opposition to shale drilling. New York, where the massive Marcellus shale is partially located, is considering a temporary ban. Yet Range (a large Marcellus leaseholder) has a price/earnings ratio of 65 based on 2010 earnings, a huge premium to such diversified gas companies as Chesapeake and Devon, which have P/Es of 7 and 11, respectively. "Everyone is betting gas prices will go up," says Oppenheimer analyst Fadel Gheit. "But I don't see it."
NEXT: Cotton
Last updated August 23 2010: 2:56 PM ET