CNNMoney.com
Companies Economy International Corrections Pre-market Trading After-hours Trading Winners/Losers/Actives Bonds Currencies Commodities World Markets Money Magazine Real Estate Mutual Funds Taxes Ask the Expert Money 101 Autos Loan Center Best Places to Live Ask the Expert Millionaires in the Making Ultimate Guide to Retirement Retirement Calculators Best Funds Ask the Mole Best Places to Retire Personal Tech Big Tech Blog Techland Blog Sectors and Stocks Fortune 500 Techs Tech Talk 100 Best Places to Launch Ultimate Resource Guide Small Biz Makeovers FSB 100 Ask & Answer Fortune 500 Technology Investing Management Rankings Main Create Portfolio Edit Portfolio Create Alerts Edit Alerts
Wholesale prices post biggest drop in 3 years
Sharp drop in energy fuels big decline in producer prices but the so-called 'core' increase is bigger than Wall Street economists had forecast.
By Chris Isidore, CNNMoney.com senior writer

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) - Wholesale prices took their biggest tumble in nearly three years in February, led by falling energy prices, the government said Tuesday, but a key measure of inflation excluding energy came in higher than Wall Street forecasts.

The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures prices paid by businesses at the wholesale level, fell 1.4 percent in February due to lower energy and food prices, the Labor Department said. That was the sharpest decline since April 2003, when oil prices fell back from their peak hit just before the start of the war in Iraq.

Inflation adjuster
How much would: $
in: be worth today?
CALCULATE
Today's dollars: $
More on the Fed and rates
And on the markets

Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a 0.2 percent decline following a 0.3 percent rise in January.

But the so-called core PPI, which excludes often volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3 percent last month after rising 0.4 percent in January. Economists had forecast only a 0.1 percent rise in the core, which is more closely watched by economists than the overall PPI reading.

A 4.7 percent decline in energy prices was a key to the bigger-than-expected drop in the overall PPI, led by a 24 percent tumble in natural gas prices and a 9.5 percent drop in the price of gasoline. But food prices also fell 2.7 percent.

Even with the sharp decline in overall prices, wholesale prices are up 3.7 percent from a year earlier. That's still the lowest 12-month increase since June 2005.

Investors have been watching readings on inflation especially closely after the Federal Reserve said recently that economic numbers would determine how long and how far it will keep raising interest rates in a bid to maintain price stability.

But investors showed little reaction to Tuesday's PPI report. Last week the Consumer Price Index, a more closely watched reading of inflation at the retail level, showed the core CPI up only 0.1 percent in January, which was less than expected.

"It's somewhat anticlimactic because we've already gotten the number the Fed really looks at," said Jason Schenker, economist at Wachovia, referring to last week's CPI reading.

He said that while the 0.3 percent rise in the core PPI might seem a bit scary to investors on inflation watch, it was balanced by the big drop in the overall producer price number.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who will preside over his first meeting of the central bank's policy-makers next week, said in a speech Monday night in New York that the Fed would continue to monitor prices and other economic readings as it decides whether to keep raising rates. The Fed has raised its key short-term rate 14 since June 2004, from 1 percent to 4.5 percent.

Bernanke said conditions in the bond market, with yields of long-term debt such as the benchmark 10-year Treasury lower than some short-term yields, is not necessarily the signal of economic weakness it has been in the past. Historically, the so-called "inverted yield curve" has been a signal of an economic slowdown or even a recession ahead.

In its report, the department said that electronic component prices fell 0.7 percent. But prices for some important items rose, including a 1.4 percent increase in the price of machinery and equipment, a 1.8 percent rise in the price of finished iron and steel products and a 0.9 percent rise in lumber prices.

--------------

Lower energy prices ease inflation pressures. Get the full story.

For more on the economy and what it means for investors, click hereTop of page

YOUR E-MAIL ALERTS
Follow the news that matters to you. Create your own alert to be notified on topics you're interested in.

Or, visit Popular Alerts for suggestions.
Manage alerts | What is this?
© 2008 Cable News Network. A Time Warner Company. All Rights Reserved. Terms under which this service is provided to you. Privacy Policy
Copyright © 2008 BigCharts.com Inc. All rights reserved. Please see our Terms of Use.
MarketWatch, the MarketWatch logo, and BigCharts are registered trademarks of MarketWatch, Inc.
Intraday data provided by Interactive Data Real-Time Services and subject to the Terms of Use.
Intraday data is at least 20-minutes delayed. All times are ET.
Historical, current end-of-day data, and splits data provided by Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data.
Fundamental data provided by Morningstar, Inc..
SEC Filings data provided by Edgar Online Inc..
Earnings data provided by FactSet CallStreet, LLC.